Valuing Carlos Pena

The Chicago Cubs have signed free agent first baseman Carlos Pena to a one-year $10, million deal. Interestingly enough, that is exactly what I projected his value to be for 2011. Though the dollar estimate is right on, I think this is a curious move by the Cubs, unless they have other moves in the works. The Cubs have a big payroll and are not a very good team. We’ll just have to wait and see how the offseason plays out.

One Response “Valuing Carlos Pena”

  1. Josh says:

    As a Cubs fan, let me defend the deal.

    1. All of the Cubs starting pitchers — or projected starters as of my writing — had FIPs below 4 last year. This would at least seem to suggest that their pitching staff is poised to be one of the best in the NL central — admittedly not saying much.

    2. The team’s utter mismanagement of Carlos Zambrano last year will not repeat itself in 2011.

    3. Their biggest bat, Aramis Ramirez was injured for much of the year — even when he wasn’t on the DL.

    4. The middle of the line-up for the Cubs will feature Aramis Ramirez, Carlos Pena, and Geovany Soto. They also have Tyler Colvin and Starlin Castro coming back from their promising rookie seasons.

    In short, I am not convinced that the Cubs will win the NL central, but they do have a good enough roster to compete, especially with the addition of Pena.